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GRAPEVINE H S

Public
GRAPEVINE, TX · GRAPEVINE-COLLEYVILLE ISD

Enrollment trend & projection

Grade 12 went from 480 in 2021 to 385 in 2024 — over 3 years.
-19.8%

Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).

If the recent trend holds…

At its recent rate of -3.2%/year, projecting from 2024's 1,624 students:

2025
1,572
2027
1,472
2029
1,378

≈ 246 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.

An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.

Revenue at risk

At $15,009 per student in district revenue, the 246 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $3,692,214/year in funding at risk.

District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.

Nearby high schools — the local competition

The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.

SchoolTypeMilesHS enrollmentTrend
IUNIVERSITY PREP
GRAPEVINE
Public 0.4 869 +22.1%
The Novus Academy
Grapevine
Private 1.5 51 -22.7%
Fusion Academy Slk: Southlake
Southlake
Private 2.1 44
THE BRIDGES ACAD ALTER
COLLEYVILLE
Public 2.2 57 -12.3%
COLLEYVILLE HERITAGE H S
COLLEYVILLE
Public 2.2 1,837 -1.3%
CARROLL SENIOR H S
SOUTHLAKE
Public 3.6 1,422 +2.0%
Covenant Christian Academy
Colleyville
Private 4.0 504 -12.5%
Ea Young Academy
North Richland Hills
Private 4.3 93 +25.7%

Is GRAPEVINE H S winning or losing the families nearby?

An Enrollment Trend Audit shows exactly where students are going — and what it takes to keep them.

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