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GATESVILLE H S

Public
GATESVILLE, TX · GATESVILLE ISD · 40.0% free/reduced lunch

Enrollment trend & projection

Grade 12 went from 188 in 2021 to 209 in 2024 — over 3 years.
+11.2%

Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).

If the recent trend holds…

At its recent rate of -0.9%/year, projecting from 2024's 782 students:

2025
775
2027
761
2029
747

≈ 35 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.

An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.

Revenue at risk

At $12,122 per student in district revenue, the 35 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $424,270/year in funding at risk.

District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.

Nearby high schools — the local competition

The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.

SchoolTypeMilesHS enrollmentTrend
OGLESBY SCHOOL
OGLESBY
Public 12.5 73 +30.4%
JONESBORO SCHOOL
JONESBORO
Public 15.9 95 +5.6%
CRAWFORD H S
CRAWFORD
Public 17.5 175 -2.8%
MCGREGOR H S
MCGREGOR
Public 18.8 437 +0.2%
KILLEEN ISD EARLY COLLEGE H S
FORT CAVAZOS
Public 21.3 960 -4.1%
RICHARD MILBURN ALTER H S (KILLEEN)
KILLEEN
Public · charter 21.3 136 -6.8%
VALLEY MILLS H S
VALLEY MILLS
Public 21.7 206 +10.2%
BELL COUNTY INSPIRE ACADEMY
KILLEEN
Public · charter 22.2 40

Is GATESVILLE H S winning or losing the families nearby?

An Enrollment Trend Audit shows exactly where students are going — and what it takes to keep them.

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