LONE STAR H S
Enrollment trend & projection
Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of -3.8%/year, projecting from 2024's 2,004 students:
≈ 357 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue at risk
At $11,681 per student in district revenue, the 357 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $4,170,117/year in funding at risk.
District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PANTHER CREEK H S FRISCO |
Public | 1.6 | 1,253 | +66.4% |
| WAKELAND H S FRISCO |
Public | 2.0 | 2,230 | +6.4% |
| MEMORIAL H S FRISCO |
Public | 2.3 | 1,439 | -27.1% |
| LITTLE ELM H S LITTLE ELM |
Public | 2.4 | 2,519 | +0.7% |
| RICHLAND H S PROSPER |
Public | 2.5 | — | — |
| FOUNDERS CLASSICAL ACADEMY - FRISCO FRISCO |
Public · charter | 2.6 | 225 | +58.5% |
| LEADERSHIP PREP SCHOOL SECONDARY FRISCO |
Public · charter | 3.1 | 358 | -0.3% |
| Grace Covenant Academy-Frisco Frisco |
Private | 3.2 | 165 | +16.2% |