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PASCHAL H S

Public
FORT WORTH, TX · FORT WORTH ISD · 59.4% free/reduced lunch

Enrollment trend & projection

Grade 12 went from 495 in 2021 to 460 in 2024 — over 3 years.
-7.1%

Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).

If the recent trend holds…

At its recent rate of -2.1%/year, projecting from 2024's 2,127 students:

2025
2,081
2027
1,993
2029
1,908

≈ 219 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.

An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.

Revenue at risk

At $14,839 per student in district revenue, the 219 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $3,249,741/year in funding at risk.

District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.

Nearby high schools — the local competition

The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.

SchoolTypeMilesHS enrollmentTrend
KI CHARTER - FORT WORTH
FORT WORTH
Public · charter 1.6 30
Cassata High School
Fort Worth
Private 1.9 113 -10.3%
CHILDREN'S MEDICAL CTR
FORT WORTH
Public 2.1 15
TRIMBLE TECHNICAL H S
FORT WORTH
Public 2.2 1,924 +13.4%
Hill School Of Fort Worth
Fort Worth
Private 2.2 104 -28.3%
PREMIER H S - FORT WORTH (SOUTHSIDE)
FORT WORTH
Public · charter 2.6 118 +76.1%
TEXASWORKS - FT WORTH-SOUTHSIDE
FORT WORTH
Public · charter 2.6 8
ARLINGTON HEIGHTS H S
FORT WORTH
Public 2.6 1,898 +1.1%

Is PASCHAL H S winning or losing the families nearby?

An Enrollment Trend Audit shows exactly where students are going — and what it takes to keep them.

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