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DUNBAR H S

Public
FORT WORTH, TX · FORT WORTH ISD · 92.6% free/reduced lunch

Enrollment trend & projection

Grade 12 went from 157 in 2021 to 174 in 2024 — over 3 years.
+10.8%

Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).

If the recent trend holds…

At its recent rate of -1.6%/year, projecting from 2024's 821 students:

2025
808
2027
783
2029
758

≈ 63 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.

An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.

Revenue at risk

At $14,839 per student in district revenue, the 63 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $934,857/year in funding at risk.

District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.

Nearby high schools — the local competition

The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.

SchoolTypeMilesHS enrollmentTrend
NEW HEIGHTS
FORT WORTH
Public · charter 0.1 588
YOUNG MEN'S LEADERSHIP ACADEMY
FORT WORTH
Public 0.9 191 +21.7%
EASTERN HILLS H S
FORT WORTH
Public 1.9 1,189 +4.7%
The Oakridge School
Arlington
Private 2.1 631 -13.2%
METRO OPPORTUNITY
FORT WORTH
Public 2.8 32
ARLINGTON COLLEGE AND CAREER H S
ARLINGTON
Public 2.8 340 +10.4%
PAINT ROCK PANTHER ACADEMY
FORT WORTH
Public 2.9 18
UPLIFT MIGHTY PREP H S
FORT WORTH
Public · charter 3.0 402 -3.8%

Is DUNBAR H S winning or losing the families nearby?

An Enrollment Trend Audit shows exactly where students are going — and what it takes to keep them.

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