FORSAN H S
Enrollment trend & projection
Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of -4.2%/year, projecting from 2024's 352 students:
≈ 68 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue at risk
At $14,804 per student in district revenue, the 68 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $1,006,672/year in funding at risk.
District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BIG SPRING H S BIG SPRING |
Public | 10.9 | 982 | -10.7% |
| BIG SPRING DAEP BIG SPRING |
Public | 11.7 | — | — |
| COAHOMA H S COAHOMA |
Public | 13.7 | 317 | +21.9% |
| GARDEN CITY H S GARDEN CITY |
Public | 18.3 | 100 | +22.0% |
| STANTON H S STANTON |
Public | 25.6 | 328 | +7.9% |
| WESTBROOK SCHOOL WESTBROOK |
Public | 26.9 | 82 | -2.4% |
| STERLING CITY SCHOOL STERLING CITY |
Public | 29.1 | 121 | +21.0% |
| GREENWOOD H S MIDLAND |
Public | 31.4 | 879 | +9.1% |