FLORESVILLE ALTER CTR
Enrollment trend & projection
Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of -3.3%/year, projecting from 2024's 28 students:
≈ 4 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue at risk
At $11,165 per student in district revenue, the 4 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $44,660/year in funding at risk.
District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| WILSON CO J J A E P FLORESVILLE |
Public | 0.0 | 2 | — |
| FISD DAEP FLORESVILLE |
Public | 0.0 | 5 | — |
| FLORESVILLE H S FLORESVILLE |
Public | 0.6 | 1,254 | +0.0% |
| POTH H S POTH |
Public | 7.0 | 275 | +7.0% |
| STOCKDALE H S STOCKDALE |
Public | 12.9 | 253 | +3.7% |
| LA VERNIA H S LA VERNIA |
Public | 13.9 | 1,072 | +8.9% |
| FALLS CITY H S FALLS CITY |
Public | 14.2 | 119 | -1.7% |
| EAST CENTRAL CAST LEAD H S SAN ANTONIO |
Public · charter | 16.0 | 181 | +96.7% |