ELKHART H S
Enrollment trend & projection
Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of -0.2%/year, projecting from 2024's 305 students:
≈ 3 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue at risk
At $14,172 per student in district revenue, the 3 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $42,516/year in funding at risk.
District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PALESTINE H S PALESTINE |
Public | 5.9 | 1,003 | -3.6% |
| SLOCUM H S ELKHART |
Public | 7.2 | 86 | -17.3% |
| WESTWOOD H S PALESTINE |
Public | 7.7 | 405 | +1.2% |
| UT TYLER UNIVERSITY ACADEMY AT PALESTINE PALESTINE |
Public · charter | 8.9 | 61 | — |
| GRAPELAND H S GRAPELAND |
Public | 12.7 | 145 | -14.7% |
| NECHES H S PALESTINE |
Public | 16.4 | 91 | -12.5% |
| OAKWOOD H S OAKWOOD |
Public | 16.6 | 51 | -13.6% |
| LATEXO H S LATEXO |
Public | 19.1 | 137 | +0.0% |