TRANSMOUNTAIN EARLY COLLEGE H S
Enrollment trend & projection
Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of -2.2%/year, projecting from 2024's 354 students:
≈ 37 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue at risk
At $13,354 per student in district revenue, the 37 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $494,098/year in funding at risk.
District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| IRVIN H S EL PASO |
Public | 1.5 | 932 | -14.7% |
| HARMONY SCHOOL OF INNOVATION - EL PASO EL PASO |
Public · charter | 1.6 | 308 | +21.7% |
| Northeast Christian Academy El Paso |
Private | 2.0 | 75 | +36.4% |
| ANDRESS H S EL PASO |
Public | 2.2 | 1,341 | -10.0% |
| PARKLAND H S EL PASO |
Public | 2.5 | 1,565 | -9.5% |
| CHAPIN H S EL PASO |
Public | 2.9 | 1,766 | +4.6% |
| AUSTIN H S EL PASO |
Public | 6.0 | 946 | -25.0% |
| Radford School El Paso |
Private | 6.2 | 216 | +5.9% |