SILVA HEALTH MAGNET
Enrollment trend & projection
Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of -2.4%/year, projecting from 2024's 544 students:
≈ 62 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue at risk
At $13,354 per student in district revenue, the 62 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $827,948/year in funding at risk.
District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| JEFFERSON H S EL PASO |
Public | 0.2 | 998 | -14.6% |
| Father Yermo Schools El Paso |
Private | 0.4 | 111 | -60.6% |
| Loretto Academy El Paso |
Private | 1.3 | 556 | — |
| BOWIE H S EL PASO |
Public | 1.5 | 1,003 | -19.2% |
| DELTA ACADEMY EL PASO |
Public | 1.6 | 47 | — |
| Radford School El Paso |
Private | 1.8 | 216 | +5.9% |
| COLLEGE CAREER TECHNOLOGY ACADEMY (CCTA) EL PASO |
Public | 2.1 | 151 | -11.2% |
| TELLES ACADEMY EL PASO |
Public | 2.1 | 12 | — |