ROBERT R VELA H S
Enrollment trend & projection
Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of -1.4%/year, projecting from 2024's 2,101 students:
≈ 140 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue at risk
At $13,046 per student in district revenue, the 140 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $1,826,440/year in funding at risk.
District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VANGUARD BEETHOVEN EDINBURG |
Public · charter | 0.5 | 284 | +108.8% |
| EDINBURG COLLEGIATE H S EDINBURG |
Public | 0.9 | 466 | +126.2% |
| EDINBURG H S EDINBURG |
Public | 1.5 | 2,267 | -7.0% |
| SOUTH TEXAS ISD WORLD SCHOLARS EDINBURG |
Public | 2.0 | 403 | -24.5% |
| IDEA TOROS COLLEGE PREPARATORY EDINBURG |
Public · charter | 2.0 | 222 | +0.9% |
| PREMIER HIGH SCHOOLS - EDINBURG CAREER & TECHNICAL EDINBURG |
Public · charter | 2.0 | 153 | +16.8% |
| TEXASWORKS - EDINBURG-CTE EDINBURG |
Public · charter | 2.0 | 47 | — |
| IDEA OWASSA COLLEGE PREPARATORY PHARR |
Public · charter | 2.1 | 324 | +194.5% |