THE STEM ACADEMY
Enrollment trend & projection
Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of -0.7%/year, projecting from 2024's 755 students:
≈ 27 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue at risk
At $13,152 per student in district revenue, the 27 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $355,104/year in funding at risk.
District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Montessori Mastery School Of Odessa Odessa |
Private | 1.9 | 113 | +56.9% |
| PERMIAN H S ODESSA |
Public | 2.2 | 4,138 | +10.8% |
| COMPASS ACADEMY CHARTER SCHOOL ODESSA |
Public · charter | 2.3 | 353 | +20.5% |
| GEORGE H W BUSH NEW TECH ODESSA ODESSA |
Public | 3.6 | 414 | -5.9% |
| ODESSA COLLEGIATE ACADEMY EARLY COLLEGE H S ODESSA |
Public | 3.7 | 476 | +28.0% |
| ODESSA CAREER AND TECHNICAL EARLY COLLEGE H S ODESSA |
Public | 3.8 | 418 | +20.1% |
| PREMIER H S ODESSA ODESSA |
Public · charter | 3.9 | 99 | +2.1% |
| ALTER ED CTR ODESSA |
Public | 4.0 | 34 | — |