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ODESSA H S

Public
ODESSA, TX · ECTOR COUNTY ISD · 81.9% free/reduced lunch

Enrollment trend & projection

Grade 12 went from 836 in 2021 to 796 in 2024 — over 3 years.
-4.8%

Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).

If the recent trend holds…

At its recent rate of -0.9%/year, projecting from 2024's 3,814 students:

2025
3,781
2027
3,717
2029
3,653

≈ 161 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.

An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.

Revenue at risk

At $13,152 per student in district revenue, the 161 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $2,117,472/year in funding at risk.

District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.

Nearby high schools — the local competition

The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.

SchoolTypeMilesHS enrollmentTrend
REG DAY SCHOOL FOR DEAF
ODESSA
Public 0.0 2
PREMIER H S ODESSA
ODESSA
Public · charter 0.6 99 +2.1%
ODESSA CAREER AND TECHNICAL EARLY COLLEGE H S
ODESSA
Public 1.0 418 +20.1%
ODESSA COLLEGIATE ACADEMY EARLY COLLEGE H S
ODESSA
Public 1.1 476 +28.0%
RICHARD MILBURN ACADEMY ODESSA
ODESSA
Public · charter 1.1 350 +10.1%
GEORGE H W BUSH NEW TECH ODESSA
ODESSA
Public 1.3 414 -5.9%
Montessori Mastery School Of Odessa
Odessa
Private 2.4 113 +56.9%
PERMIAN H S
ODESSA
Public 2.8 4,138 +10.8%

Is ODESSA H S winning or losing the families nearby?

An Enrollment Trend Audit shows exactly where students are going — and what it takes to keep them.

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