ADULT TRANSITION SERVICES
Enrollment trend & projection
Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of -4.2%/year, projecting from 2024's 22 students:
≈ 4 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue at risk
At $13,199 per student in district revenue, the 4 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $52,796/year in funding at risk.
District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| WESTLAKE H S AUSTIN |
Public | 0.8 | 2,854 | +1.1% |
| Fusion Academy Aus: Austin Austin |
Private | 1.3 | 82 | +17.1% |
| AUSTIN H S AUSTIN |
Public | 2.1 | 2,323 | -2.4% |
| RICHARDS SCH FOR YOUNG WOMEN LEADERS AUSTIN |
Public | 2.6 | 436 | -4.8% |
| Regents School Of Austin Austin |
Private | 2.8 | 1,043 | +4.0% |
| Rawson-Saunders-Austin Area School For Dyslexics Austin |
Private | 2.9 | 199 | -3.9% |
| Headwaters School Austin |
Private | 3.2 | 411 | +1.2% |
| Headwaters School Austin |
Private | 3.2 | 410 | — |