FREDDA NOTTINGHAM ALTERNATIVE EDUCATION CENTER
Enrollment trend & projection
Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of -14.5%/year, projecting from 2024's 5 students:
≈ 3 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue at risk
At $11,706 per student in district revenue, the 3 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $35,118/year in funding at risk.
District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DAYTON H S DAYTON |
Public | 1.9 | 1,674 | +5.9% |
| Chrysalis School Liberty |
Private | 6.2 | 22 | — |
| PREMIER H S OF DAYTON DAYTON |
Public · charter | 6.3 | 112 | +57.7% |
| LIBERTY H S LIBERTY |
Public | 6.5 | 768 | +16.0% |
| HARGRAVE H S HUFFMAN |
Public | 10.2 | 1,165 | +6.4% |
| HARDIN H S HARDIN |
Public | 12.2 | 396 | +9.7% |
| BARBERS HILL H S MONT BELVIEU |
Public | 13.9 | 2,222 | +15.7% |
| CROSBY H S CROSBY |
Public | 14.8 | 2,148 | +13.7% |