JJAEP
Enrollment trend & projection
Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of -11.7%/year, projecting from 2024's 33 students:
≈ 15 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue at risk
At $11,917 per student in district revenue, the 15 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $178,755/year in funding at risk.
District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MONTGOMERY CO J J A E P CONROE |
Public | 0.0 | 1 | — |
| D A E P CONROE |
Public | 1.3 | — | — |
| Calvary Baptist School Conroe |
Private | 1.9 | 254 | +7.2% |
| CONROE H S CONROE |
Public | 1.9 | 5,252 | +12.6% |
| BOOKER T WASHINGTON H S CONROE |
Public | 2.1 | 189 | +9.2% |
| Lifestyle Christian School Conroe |
Private | 2.8 | 88 | -39.3% |
| Covenant Christian School Conroe |
Private | 3.5 | 392 | — |
| Conroe Adventist Academy Conroe |
Private | 3.9 | 70 | — |