CONNALLY HIGH SCHOOL
Enrollment trend & projection
Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of -0.3%/year, projecting from 2024's 614 students:
≈ 10 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue at risk
At $13,427 per student in district revenue, the 10 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $134,270/year in funding at risk.
District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LA VEGA H S WACO |
Public | 2.9 | 881 | -6.0% |
| Parkview Christian Academy Waco |
Private | 3.6 | 96 | +18.5% |
| G L WILEY OPPORTUNITY CENTER WACO |
Public | 4.9 | 45 | — |
| PAUL AND JANE MEYER PUBLIC H S WACO |
Public · charter | 5.1 | 233 | +19.5% |
| BOSQUEVILLE H S WACO |
Public | 5.8 | 227 | +4.6% |
| METHODIST CHILDREN'S HOME WACO |
Public · charter | 5.9 | 64 | +1.6% |
| WACO CTR FOR YOUTH WACO |
Public | 5.9 | 52 | — |
| PREMIER H S OF WACO WACO |
Public · charter | 6.0 | 128 | -14.7% |