CHIRENO H S
Enrollment trend & projection
Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of -1.6%/year, projecting from 2024's 120 students:
≈ 9 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue at risk
At $15,665 per student in district revenue, the 9 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $140,985/year in funding at risk.
District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| WODEN H S WODEN |
Public | 10.6 | 220 | +4.8% |
| MARTINSVILLE SCHOOL MARTINSVILLE |
Public | 10.8 | 92 | -7.1% |
| BROADDUS H S SAN AUGUSTINE |
Public | 13.4 | 98 | -10.9% |
| SAN AUGUSTINE H S SAN AUGUSTINE |
Public | 14.9 | 202 | +2.0% |
| Regents Academy Nacogdoches |
Private | 17.1 | 151 | -3.8% |
| NACOGDOCHES H S NACOGDOCHES |
Public | 19.0 | 1,755 | +0.1% |
| PRIDE ALTER SCH HUNTINGTON |
Public | 19.6 | 12 | — |
| HUNTINGTON H S HUNTINGTON |
Public | 20.8 | 485 | +1.3% |