CHAPEL HILL H S
Enrollment trend & projection
Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of -4.7%/year, projecting from 2024's 294 students:
≈ 63 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue at risk
At $13,502 per student in district revenue, the 63 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $850,626/year in funding at risk.
District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mt Pleasant Christian School Mount Pleasant |
Private | 5.2 | 11 | — |
| MOUNT PLEASANT H S MOUNT PLEASANT |
Public | 7.6 | 1,557 | +3.2% |
| MOUNT PLEASANT DAEP MOUNT PLEASANT |
Public | 7.6 | 9 | — |
| HARTS BLUFF EARLY COLLEGE H S MOUNT PLEASANT |
Public | 7.6 | 224 | +105.5% |
| PITTSBURG H S PITTSBURG |
Public | 9.1 | 671 | -3.7% |
| PEWITT H S OMAHA |
Public | 11.3 | 262 | +4.0% |
| DAINGERFIELD H S DAINGERFIELD |
Public | 11.8 | 343 | +26.1% |
| HUGHES SPRINGS H S HUGHES SPRINGS |
Public | 16.2 | 327 | -1.8% |