BUENA VISTA SCHOOL
Enrollment trend & projection
Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of -2.9%/year, projecting from 2024's 220 students:
≈ 30 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue at risk
At $15,567 per student in district revenue, the 30 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $467,010/year in funding at risk.
District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GRANDFALLS-ROYALTY SCHOOL GRANDFALLS |
Public | 10.3 | 39 | — |
| CRANE H S CRANE |
Public | 21.7 | 347 | +6.4% |
| MONAHANS ED CTR MONAHANS |
Public | 24.4 | 8 | — |
| MONAHANS H S MONAHANS |
Public | 24.5 | 624 | +4.0% |
| FORT STOCKTON HIGH FORT STOCKTON |
Public | 28.3 | 699 | +0.4% |
| BUTZ PREPARATORY ACADEMY FORT STOCKTON |
Public | 29.4 | 2,039 | — |
| MCCAMEY H S MCCAMEY |
Public | 29.9 | 144 | +0.0% |
| WINK H S WINK |
Public | 42.7 | 147 | +26.7% |