FALFURRIAS H S
Enrollment trend & projection
Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of -3.1%/year, projecting from 2024's 370 students:
≈ 54 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue at risk
At $19,272 per student in district revenue, the 54 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $1,040,688/year in funding at risk.
District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PREMONT COLLEGIATE H S PREMONT |
Public | 8.7 | 218 | +13.5% |
| KAUFER H S RIVIERA |
Public | 21.5 | 181 | -6.7% |
| Presbyterian Pan American School Kingsville |
Private | 23.1 | 86 | -40.7% |
| H M KING H S KINGSVILLE |
Public | 25.8 | 918 | +0.3% |
| SANTA GERTRUDIS ACADEMY H S KINGSVILLE |
Public | 26.0 | 393 | +4.8% |
| BEN BOLT-PALITO BLANCO H S BEN BOLT |
Public | 28.9 | 129 | -23.2% |
| BENAVIDES SECONDARY BENAVIDES |
Public | 30.1 | 58 | -30.1% |
| BISHOP H S BISHOP |
Public | 32.8 | 533 | -3.3% |