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RICHLAND H S

Public
NORTH RICHLAND HILLS, TX · BIRDVILLE ISD · 49.5% free/reduced lunch

Enrollment trend & projection

Grade 12 went from 527 in 2021 to 520 in 2024 — over 3 years.
-1.3%

Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).

If the recent trend holds…

At its recent rate of -0.5%/year, projecting from 2024's 2,063 students:

2025
2,053
2027
2,034
2029
2,016

≈ 47 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.

An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.

Revenue at risk

At $12,826 per student in district revenue, the 47 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $602,822/year in funding at risk.

District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.

Nearby high schools — the local competition

The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.

SchoolTypeMilesHS enrollmentTrend
Fort Worth Christian School
North Richland Hills
Private 1.2 543 -17.1%
First Baptist Christian School
Haltom City
Private 1.6 25
GRAPEVINE-COLLEYVILLE COLLEGIATE ACADEMY AT TCC NE
HURST
Public 2.2 358 -6.5%
WINFREE ACADEMY NORTH RICHLAND HILLS
NORTH RICHLAND HILLS
Public · charter 2.4 208 -9.2%
BIRDVILLE H S
NORTH RICHLAND HILLS
Public 2.6 2,069 +1.1%
BOB E GRIGGS H S
HALTOM CITY
Public 2.8 140 +5.3%
HALTOM H S
HALTOM CITY
Public 2.9 2,757 -1.2%
Midcities Montessori
Bedford
Private 3.7 42

Is RICHLAND H S winning or losing the families nearby?

An Enrollment Trend Audit shows exactly where students are going — and what it takes to keep them.

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