BAY CITY H S
Public
BAY CITY, TX · BAY CITY ISD · 50.7% free/reduced lunch
Enrollment trend & projection
Grade 12 went from 215 in 2021 to
263 in 2024
— over 3 years.
+22.3%
Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of +2.5%/year, projecting from 2024's 1,042 students:
2025
1,068
2027
1,120
2029
1,176
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue upside
At $14,064 per student in district revenue, the 134 students projected to be gained by 2029 represent ≈ $1,884,576/year in additional funding.
District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VAN VLECK H S VAN VLECK |
Public | 6.4 | 342 | +2.1% |
| TIDEHAVEN H S EL MATON |
Public | 10.8 | 312 | +20.0% |
| SWEENY H S SWEENY |
Public | 17.6 | 597 | +2.6% |
| BOLING H S BOLING |
Public | 19.8 | 328 | -4.4% |
| COLUMBIA H S WEST COLUMBIA |
Public | 22.9 | 885 | +4.4% |
| Faith Christian Academy Wharton |
Private | 23.0 | 35 | — |
| EL CAMPO H S EL CAMPO |
Public | 23.5 | 1,002 | -10.5% |
| PALACIOS JUNIOR SENIOR H S PALACIOS |
Public | 24.1 | 376 | -1.1% |