BAIRD H S
Enrollment trend & projection
Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of -0.5%/year, projecting from 2024's 140 students:
≈ 3 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue at risk
At $19,480 per student in district revenue, the 3 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $58,440/year in funding at risk.
District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CLYDE H S CLYDE |
Public | 7.5 | 444 | +7.8% |
| EULA H S CLYDE |
Public | 10.2 | 116 | +11.5% |
| MORAN SCHOOL MORAN |
Public | 16.8 | 36 | — |
| ACADEMY FOR TECHNOLOGY ENGINEERING MATH & SCIENCE ABILENE |
Public | 17.2 | 384 | +9.7% |
| WOODSON CENTER FOR EXCELLENCE ABILENE |
Public | 18.9 | 102 | -32.5% |
| DAEP ABILENE |
Public | 18.9 | 38 | — |
| Abilene Christian Schools Abilene |
Private | 18.9 | 380 | — |
| TAYLOR COUNTY LEARNING CENTER ABILENE |
Public | 19.5 | 24 | — |