GRADUATION PREP ACADEMY NAVARRO
Enrollment trend & projection
Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of -7.1%/year, projecting from 2024's 57 students:
≈ 17 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue at risk
At $21,825 per student in district revenue, the 17 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $371,025/year in funding at risk.
District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NAVARRO EARLY COLLEGE H S AUSTIN |
Public | 0.0 | 1,633 | +1.9% |
| SETTLEMENT HOME AUSTIN |
Public · charter | 0.4 | 25 | — |
| IDEA RUNDBERG COLLEGE PREPARATORY AUSTIN |
Public · charter | 1.2 | 396 | +2.1% |
| DIBOLL AUSTIN |
Public · charter | 1.7 | 75 | -27.9% |
| ROSEDALE AUSTIN |
Public | 1.8 | 135 | +25.0% |
| NICOLE'S PLACE AUSTIN |
Public | 1.8 | 1 | — |
| St Francis School Austin |
Private | 2.0 | 376 | -1.3% |
| KIPP AUSTIN COLLEGIATE AUSTIN |
Public · charter | 2.2 | 847 | +5.6% |