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TRAVIS EARLY COLLEGE H S

Public
AUSTIN, TX · AUSTIN ISD · 84.7% free/reduced lunch

Enrollment trend & projection

Grade 12 went from 255 in 2021 to 240 in 2024 — over 3 years.
-5.9%

Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).

If the recent trend holds…

At its recent rate of -3.9%/year, projecting from 2024's 1,011 students:

2025
972
2027
898
2029
830

≈ 181 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.

An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.

Revenue at risk

At $21,825 per student in district revenue, the 181 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $3,950,325/year in funding at risk.

District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.

Nearby high schools — the local competition

The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.

SchoolTypeMilesHS enrollmentTrend
GRADUATION PREPARATORY ACADEMY
AUSTIN
Public 0.0 69 +4.5%
LEADERSHIP ACADEMY
AUSTIN
Public 0.7 21
TRAVIS COUNTY J J A E P
AUSTIN
Public 0.7 6
TRAVIS COUNTY JUVENILE DETENTION CENTER
AUSTIN
Public 0.7 27
Waterloo School
Austin
Private 1.1 42
San Juan Diego Catholic High School
Austin
Private 1.2 127 -3.8%
THE EXCEL CENTER FOR ADULTS - SOUTH AUSTIN
AUSTIN
Public · charter 1.2 114 +100.0%
TEXAS SCHOOL FOR THE DEAF
AUSTIN
Public 1.5 229 +0.0%

Is TRAVIS EARLY COLLEGE H S winning or losing the families nearby?

An Enrollment Trend Audit shows exactly where students are going — and what it takes to keep them.

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