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AUBREY H S

Public
AUBREY, TX · AUBREY ISD · 31.2% free/reduced lunch

Enrollment trend & projection

Grade 12 went from 174 in 2021 to 229 in 2024 — over 3 years.
+31.6%

Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).

If the recent trend holds…

At its recent rate of +10.6%/year, projecting from 2024's 1,135 students:

2025
1,255
2027
1,534
2029
1,874

An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.

Revenue upside

At $13,508 per student in district revenue, the 739 students projected to be gained by 2029 represent ≈ $9,982,412/year in additional funding.

District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.

Nearby high schools — the local competition

The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.

SchoolTypeMilesHS enrollmentTrend
Koan School
Denton
Private 6.0 125 +68.9%
RAY BRASWELL H S
AUBREY
Public 6.2 2,812 +4.3%
PILOT POINT H S
PILOT POINT
Public 8.0 482 +7.8%
RYAN H S
DENTON
Public 8.1 2,051 -7.2%
THE LAGRONE ACADEMY
DENTON
Public 8.3 212 +7.1%
Denton Calvary Academy
Denton
Private 8.5 221 -18.1%
RICHLAND H S
PROSPER
Public 8.6
PANTHER CREEK H S
FRISCO
Public 8.9 1,253 +66.4%

Is AUBREY H S winning or losing the families nearby?

An Enrollment Trend Audit shows exactly where students are going — and what it takes to keep them.

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