ARLINGTON H S
Enrollment trend & projection
Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of -0.2%/year, projecting from 2024's 2,580 students:
≈ 30 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue at risk
At $12,932 per student in district revenue, the 30 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $387,960/year in funding at risk.
District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pantego Christian Academy - Arlington Campus Arlington |
Private | 1.5 | 473 | -9.4% |
| Pantego Christian Academy Pantego |
Private | 1.5 | 469 | +421.1% |
| JEAN MASSIEU ACADEMY ARLINGTON |
Public · charter | 2.0 | 36 | — |
| NEWMAN INTERNATIONAL ACADEMY OF ARLINGTON GIBBINS ARLINGTON |
Public · charter | 2.2 | 271 | -8.1% |
| Flint Academy Dalworthington Gardens |
Private | 2.4 | 84 | +9.1% |
| UPLIFT SUMMIT PREP H S ARLINGTON |
Public · charter | 2.5 | 436 | -6.0% |
| SAM HOUSTON H S ARLINGTON |
Public | 2.6 | 3,208 | -9.4% |
| BASEPOINT ACADEMY - ARLINGTON ARLINGTON |
Public · charter | 2.7 | 8 | — |