ARANSAS PASS H S
Enrollment trend & projection
Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of -3.3%/year, projecting from 2024's 431 students:
≈ 66 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue at risk
At $13,331 per student in district revenue, the 66 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $879,846/year in funding at risk.
District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| INGLESIDE H S INGLESIDE |
Public | 4.0 | 624 | -0.6% |
| PORT ARANSAS H S PORT ARANSAS |
Public | 8.6 | 203 | +4.6% |
| GREGORY-PORTLAND H S PORTLAND |
Public | 9.5 | 1,511 | +10.9% |
| ROCKPORT-FULTON H S ROCKPORT |
Public | 11.6 | 918 | -1.3% |
| COASTAL HORIZONS ACADEMY TAFT |
Public · charter | 13.8 | 70 | — |
| TAFT H S TAFT |
Public | 14.4 | 249 | -12.6% |
| COLES H S AND EDUCATIONAL CENTER CORPUS CHRISTI |
Public | 16.2 | 95 | -37.9% |
| ROY MILLER H S AND METRO SCHOOL OF DESIGN CORPUS CHRISTI |
Public | 17.6 | 1,249 | -8.8% |