AMHERST SCHOOL
Enrollment trend & projection
Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of -7.3%/year, projecting from 2024's 102 students:
≈ 32 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue at risk
At $18,940 per student in district revenue, the 32 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $606,080/year in funding at risk.
District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SUDAN H S SUDAN |
Public | 7.6 | 137 | +1.5% |
| LITTLEFIELD H S LITTLEFIELD |
Public | 7.9 | 382 | +7.9% |
| SPRINGLAKE-EARTH ISD EARTH |
Public | 17.1 | 83 | -9.8% |
| OLTON H S OLTON |
Public | 19.3 | 197 | +18.0% |
| ANTON SCHOOL ANTON |
Public | 19.8 | 55 | -11.3% |
| WHITHARRAL SCHOOL WHITHARRAL |
Public | 19.8 | 54 | +0.0% |
| MULESHOE H S MULESHOE |
Public | 23.3 | 341 | -7.8% |
| COTTON CENTER SCHOOL COTTON CENTER |
Public | 24.0 | 24 | — |