VICTORY EARLY COLLEGE H S
Public
HOUSTON, TX · ALDINE ISD · 80.3% free/reduced lunch
Enrollment trend & projection
Grade 12 went from 102 in 2021 to
106 in 2024
— over 3 years.
+3.9%
Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of +2.6%/year, projecting from 2024's 442 students:
2025
454
2027
478
2029
503
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue upside
At $13,966 per student in district revenue, the 61 students projected to be gained by 2029 represent ≈ $851,926/year in additional funding.
District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shady Acres Christian School Tomball |
Private | 0.1 | 59 | +13.5% |
| EISENHOWER H S HOUSTON |
Public | 1.0 | 2,262 | -19.2% |
| YES PREP - WHITE OAK HOUSTON |
Public · charter | 1.2 | 494 | +13.0% |
| CARVER H S FOR APPLIED TECH/ENGINEERING/ARTS HOUSTON |
Public | 1.3 | 708 | -6.8% |
| SCARBOROUGH H S HOUSTON |
Public | 2.7 | 691 | -9.7% |
| St Pius X High School Houston |
Private | 3.6 | 534 | -16.0% |
| Memorial Hall School Houston |
Private | 3.9 | 19 | — |
| WALTRIP H S HOUSTON |
Public | 4.0 | 1,615 | -5.7% |