MACARTHUR H S
Enrollment trend & projection
Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of -0.5%/year, projecting from 2024's 3,501 students:
≈ 91 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue at risk
At $13,966 per student in district revenue, the 91 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $1,270,906/year in funding at risk.
District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AVALOS P-TECH SCHOOL HOUSTON |
Public | 1.0 | 400 | +9.6% |
| YES PREP - NORTH CENTRAL HOUSTON |
Public · charter | 1.9 | 519 | -4.1% |
| YES PREP NORTH FOREST HOUSTON |
Public · charter | 2.2 | 524 | -0.2% |
| LANE SCHOOL HOUSTON |
Public | 2.6 | 95 | +31.9% |
| HALL SUCCESS ACADEMY HOUSTON |
Public | 2.9 | 158 | -19.0% |
| YES PREP - NORTHLINE HOUSTON |
Public · charter | 3.5 | 535 | +104.2% |
| Our Redeemer Lutheran North School Houston |
Private | 3.7 | 6 | — |
| GEORGE I SANCHEZ NORTH HOUSTON |
Public · charter | 4.0 | 199 | -6.1% |