ABILENE H S
Enrollment trend & projection
Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of -3.9%/year, projecting from 2024's 1,798 students:
≈ 326 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue at risk
At $13,211 per student in district revenue, the 326 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $4,306,786/year in funding at risk.
District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TEXAS LEADERSHIP OF ABILENE ABILENE |
Public · charter | 0.7 | 195 | +200.0% |
| TRIUMPH PUBLIC HIGH SCHOOLS-ABILENE ABILENE |
Public · charter | 1.6 | 85 | — |
| WOODSON CENTER FOR EXCELLENCE ABILENE |
Public | 2.3 | 102 | -32.5% |
| DAEP ABILENE |
Public | 2.3 | 38 | — |
| PREMIER H S OF ABILENE ABILENE |
Public · charter | 2.5 | 176 | +11.4% |
| TEXASWORKS - ABILENE ABILENE |
Public · charter | 2.5 | 36 | — |
| TAYLOR COUNTY LEARNING CENTER ABILENE |
Public | 3.0 | 24 | — |
| JUVENILE DETENTION CENTER ABILENE |
Public | 3.0 | 9 | — |