GREAT HEARTS NORTHERN OAKS
Enrollment trend & projection
Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of -0.0%/year, projecting from 2024's 1,430 students:
≈ 2 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue at risk
At $11,389 per student in district revenue, the 2 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $22,778/year in funding at risk.
District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAUREL RIDGE SAN ANTONIO |
Public · charter | 1.0 | 25 | — |
| MADISON H S SAN ANTONIO |
Public | 2.2 | 2,616 | -12.3% |
| Trinity Christian Academy San Antonio |
Private | 2.3 | 121 | -21.4% |
| ACADEMY OF CREATIVE ED SAN ANTONIO |
Public | 4.1 | 121 | +40.7% |
| REAGAN H S SAN ANTONIO |
Public | 4.1 | 3,403 | +0.7% |
| JOHNSON H S SAN ANTONIO |
Public | 4.2 | 3,196 | -2.0% |
| SST SA COLLEGE PREP H S SAN ANTONIO |
Public · charter | 4.3 | 348 | +16.8% |
| IDEA JUDSON COLLEGE PREPARATORY SAN ANTONIO |
Public · charter | 4.4 | 398 | +47.4% |