EVOLUTION ACADEMY HOUSTON
Enrollment trend & projection
Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of -0.3%/year, projecting from 2024's 194 students:
≈ 3 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue at risk
At $12,754 per student in district revenue, the 3 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $38,262/year in funding at risk.
District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| KLEIN COLLINS H S KLEIN |
Public | 1.6 | 3,360 | +0.5% |
| SPRING H S SPRING |
Public | 1.7 | 2,594 | -8.4% |
| CARL WUNSCHE SR H S SPRING |
Public | 1.8 | 1,503 | +3.5% |
| KLEIN THERAPEUTIC AND READINESS CENTER KLEIN |
Public | 2.3 | — | — |
| Frassati Catholic High School Spring |
Private | 2.6 | 261 | +0.8% |
| Founders Christian School Spring |
Private | 3.0 | 139 | — |
| LEGACY SCHOOL OF SPORT SCIENCES SPRING |
Public · charter | 3.5 | 286 | +22.2% |
| ANDY DEKANEY H S HOUSTON |
Public | 4.0 | 2,485 | +12.1% |