IDEA CARVER COLLEGE PREPARATORY
Enrollment trend & projection
Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of -1.7%/year, projecting from 2024's 661 students:
≈ 53 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue at risk
At $13,366 per student in district revenue, the 53 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $708,398/year in funding at risk.
District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Healy-Murphy Center San Antonio |
Private | 0.6 | 128 | -4.5% |
| HEALY-MURPHY SAN ANTONIO |
Public | 0.7 | 141 | +28.2% |
| St Gerard Catholic School San Antonio |
Private | 0.8 | 58 | -44.8% |
| BEXAR CO J J A E P SAN ANTONIO |
Public | 1.1 | 1 | — |
| BEXAR CO J J A E P SAN ANTONIO |
Public | 1.1 | 3 | — |
| NORTH EAST J J A E P SAN ANTONIO |
Public | 1.1 | 8 | — |
| NISD BEXAR COUNTY JJA SAN ANTONIO |
Public | 1.1 | 20 | — |
| JJA SAN ANTONIO |
Public | 1.1 | 6 | — |