YES PREP - 5TH WARD
Enrollment trend & projection
Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of -0.5%/year, projecting from 2024's 933 students:
≈ 23 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue at risk
At $14,137 per student in district revenue, the 23 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $325,151/year in funding at risk.
District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MICKEY LELAND COLLEGE PREP ACAD FOR YOUNG MEN HOUSTON |
Public | 0.4 | 138 | -30.7% |
| WHEATLEY H S HOUSTON |
Public | 0.6 | 537 | -27.5% |
| MIDDLE COLLEGE H S AT HCC FRAGA HOUSTON |
Public | 1.5 | 130 | +0.8% |
| EAST EARLY COLLEGE H S HOUSTON |
Public | 1.5 | 458 | +2.2% |
| TEXANS CAN ACADEMY - HOUSTON NORTH HOUSTON |
Public · charter | 1.8 | 254 | -32.4% |
| NORTHSIDE H S HOUSTON |
Public | 1.8 | 1,058 | -20.0% |
| HARRIS COUNTY JUVENILE DETENTION CENTER HOUSTON |
Public · charter | 2.0 | 138 | +48.4% |
| BLESSED KIDZ HOUSTON |
Public | 2.0 | 3 | — |