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VANGUARD MOZART

Public Charter K–12 / combined
ALAMO, TX · VANGUARD ACADEMY · 90.7% free/reduced lunch

Enrollment trend & projection

Grade 12 went from 53 in 2021 to 60 in 2024 — over 3 years.
+13.2%

Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).

If the recent trend holds…

At its recent rate of +2.1%/year, projecting from 2024's 1,236 students:

2025
1,262
2027
1,316
2029
1,372

An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.

Revenue upside

At $13,731 per student in district revenue, the 136 students projected to be gained by 2029 represent ≈ $1,867,416/year in additional funding.

District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.

Nearby high schools — the local competition

The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.

SchoolTypeMilesHS enrollmentTrend
PSJA MEMORIAL EARLY COLLEGE H S
ALAMO
Public 1.5 1,997 +9.5%
Macedonian Christian Academy
Alamo
Private 1.5 201 +13.6%
IDEA COLLEGE PREPARATORY ALAMO
ALAMO
Public · charter 1.6 352 -1.1%
Valley Christian Heritage School
Alamo
Private 2.1 38
IDEA COLLEGE PREP
DONNA
Public · charter 2.2 405 +19.5%
PREMIER H S OF SAN JUAN
SAN JUAN
Public · charter 2.5 108 +8.0%
TEXASWORKS - SAN JUAN
SAN JUAN
Public · charter 2.5 9
DONNA NORTH H S
DONNA
Public 3.6 1,974 -3.3%

Is VANGUARD MOZART winning or losing the families nearby?

An Enrollment Trend Audit shows exactly where students are going — and what it takes to keep them.

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