PATHFINDER CAMP
Enrollment trend & projection
Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of -3.5%/year, projecting from 2024's 18 students:
≈ 3 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue at risk
At $19,346 per student in district revenue, the 3 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $58,038/year in funding at risk.
District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DRIPPING SPRINGS H S DRIPPING SPRINGS |
Public | 4.0 | 2,564 | +9.8% |
| Aesa Prep Academy Austin |
Private | 4.7 | 146 | +52.1% |
| Veritas Academy Austin |
Private | 8.7 | 647 | -37.7% |
| VALOR SOUTH AUSTIN AUSTIN |
Public · charter | 10.4 | 245 | +169.2% |
| Austin Waldorf School Austin |
Private | 10.4 | 331 | -14.7% |
| KATHERINE ANNE PORTER SCHOOL WIMBERLEY |
Public · charter | 10.6 | 82 | +10.8% |
| WIMBERLEY H S WIMBERLEY |
Public | 10.6 | 820 | -1.1% |
| MOE AND GENE JOHNSON H S BUDA |
Public | 10.7 | 2,870 | +16.9% |