TEXANS CAN ACADEMY - AUSTIN
Enrollment trend & projection
Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of -21.3%/year, projecting from 2024's 168 students:
≈ 117 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue at risk
At $14,520 per student in district revenue, the 117 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $1,698,840/year in funding at risk.
District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| EASTSIDE EARLY COLLEGE H S AUSTIN |
Public | 0.2 | 663 | +4.1% |
| GARZA INDEPENDENCE H S AUSTIN |
Public | 0.8 | 199 | +27.6% |
| LASA H S AUSTIN |
Public | 1.9 | 1,616 | +23.5% |
| UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS AT AUSTIN H S AUSTIN |
Public | 2.1 | 1,056 | +58.6% |
| THE UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS AT AUSTIN INTERNATIONAL H AUSTIN |
Public | 2.1 | — | — |
| The Austin School For Performing And Visual Arts Austin |
Private | 2.1 | 21 | — |
| Odyssey School Austin |
Private | 2.3 | 56 | — |
| Headwaters School Austin |
Private | 2.4 | 411 | +1.2% |