TEXANS CAN ACADEMY - FORT WORTH LANCASTER AVENUE
Enrollment trend & projection
Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of -12.4%/year, projecting from 2024's 319 students:
≈ 155 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue at risk
At $14,520 per student in district revenue, the 155 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $2,250,600/year in funding at risk.
District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| IM TERRELL ACADEMY FOR STEM AND VPA FORT WORTH |
Public | 0.2 | 470 | -4.9% |
| Cristo Rey Fort Worth College Prep Fort Worth |
Private | 0.7 | 206 | +66.1% |
| YOUNG WOMEN'S LEADERSHIP ACADEMY FORT WORTH |
Public | 0.9 | 203 | -12.5% |
| PREMIER H S - FORT WORTH (SOUTHSIDE) FORT WORTH |
Public · charter | 1.0 | 118 | +76.1% |
| TEXASWORKS - FT WORTH-SOUTHSIDE FORT WORTH |
Public · charter | 1.0 | 8 | — |
| TRIMBLE TECHNICAL H S FORT WORTH |
Public | 1.4 | 1,924 | +13.4% |
| Cassata High School Fort Worth |
Private | 1.5 | 113 | -10.3% |
| TEXAS ACADEMY OF BIOMEDICAL FORT WORTH |
Public | 1.5 | 374 | -1.3% |